Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000467 0.000522 0.000582 0.000655 0.000740 0.000837 0.000958
2024-12-29 0.000385 0.000459 0.000548 0.000666 0.000821 0.001020 0.001303
2025-01-05 0.000335 0.000418 0.000526 0.000679 0.000897 0.001208 0.001709
2025-01-12 0.000293 0.000378 0.000493 0.000666 0.000931 0.001342 0.002076
2025-01-19 0.000271 0.000360 0.000487 0.000687 0.001015 0.001568 0.002672
2025-01-26 0.000241 0.000327 0.000452 0.000658 0.001012 0.001646 0.003028
2025-02-02 0.000224 0.000310 0.000440 0.000663 0.001064 0.001835 0.003694
2025-02-09 0.000213 0.000301 0.000438 0.000681 0.001144 0.002100 0.004676
2025-02-16 0.000203 0.000292 0.000434 0.000696 0.001219 0.002376 0.005875
2025-02-23 0.000196 0.000287 0.000436 0.000721 0.001321 0.002754 0.007682
2025-03-02 0.000186 0.000277 0.000429 0.000728 0.001384 0.003057 0.009539
2025-03-09 0.000175 0.000263 0.000413 0.000714 0.001400 0.003240 0.011128
2025-03-16 0.000166 0.000253 0.000404 0.000718 0.001460 0.003599 0.014151
2025-03-23 0.000159 0.000245 0.000399 0.000727 0.001542 0.004075 0.018837
2025-03-30 0.000152 0.000239 0.000395 0.000740 0.001637 0.004660 0.025966
2025-04-06 0.000144 0.000227 0.000381 0.000726 0.001654 0.004974 0.032158
2025-04-13 0.000140 0.000224 0.000382 0.000749 0.001788 0.005859 0.048967
2025-04-20 0.000130 0.000210 0.000362 0.000717 0.001744 0.005934 0.056026
2025-04-27 0.000126 0.000205 0.000357 0.000722 0.001821 0.006657 0.080892
2025-05-04 0.000123 0.000202 0.000358 0.000743 0.001956 0.007831 0.136744
2025-05-11 0.000120 0.000199 0.000357 0.000759 0.002083 0.009121 0.242808
2025-05-18 0.000118 0.000198 0.000361 0.000788 0.002269 0.011093 0.558712
2025-05-25 0.000114 0.000193 0.000357 0.000795 0.002375 0.012673 1.222058